The Houston Astros possess the lowest K Rate in the majors this season and are excellent against opposing southpaws. This does not bode well for Carlos Rodon who has not pitched great this season for the Yankees and appears to be on the decline, particularly in the strikeout department. The Astros have a lot of experience against Rodon as well and their projected lineup has good numbers against Rodon. I feel this number should be 4.5 considering the matchup and Rodon's present form.

Radon is facing the lineup least likely to strike out and his advanced stats say he should not get to 6. Heavy juice but still

The Yankees are rolling and their entire bullpen should be available if needed behind Carlos Rodon, who is 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA at home. But the only reason I'm playing this is struggling Houston rookie pitcher Spencer Arrighetti (0-3, 8.27 ERA), who might be ticketed back to the minors afterward.