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    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays

    Matt Severance is a well-connected writer and high-volume handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, Matt quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. Over the past three MLB seasons, Matt is up $2,395 for $100 bettors. Over the past two NBA seasons, Matt has returned $3,215. And over the past four college basketball seasons, Matt is up $887. He went 103-89-2 (plus $665) in the 2023 college football season and 121-93-2 (plus $589) in the 2023 NFL season. Matt believes in buying points in football to get off a push number like 3 or 7. He understands that oddsmakers don't do as much homework on lower-tier FBS games, creating betting opportunities. And he says homefield advantage is underrated in some markets and overrated in others. For Matt Severance media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

    @jordanpaytonsn1
    LAST 161 NBA ML PICKS
    +1971
    RECORD: 107-54-0
    # 3 NBA EXPERT
    +1971
    107-54 IN LAST 161 NBA ML PICKS

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    Matt's Picks (2 Live)

    May 21 2024, 10:40 pm UTC
    League
    San Diego
    @ Cincinnati
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit0.5
    +1942.75
    156-91-1 in Last 248 MLB Picks
    +346
    26-19 in Last 45 SD ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    The Padres are in a tough spot Tuesday in Cincinnati. ...

    Pick Made: 2:01 am UTC
    May 22 2024, 2:10 am UTC
    League
    Arizona
    @ L.A. Dodgers
    Matt's PickSubscribers Only
    Unit1.0
    +1942.75
    156-91-1 in Last 248 MLB Picks
    +1036.25
    63-40 in Last 103 MLB ML Picks
    +2294.5
    60-22 in Last 82 LAD ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Gavin Stone has been tremendous of late for the Dodgers. ...

    Pick Made: 2:22 am UTC

    Matt's Past Picks

    May 21 2024, 1:00 am UTC
    League
    Edmonton
    3
    @ Vancouver
    2
    +1327.5
    45-23 in Last 68 NHL ATS Picks
    +813
    9-2 in Last 11 VAN ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    Not much better than an NHL Game 7. Big number but I'm like actively rooting for overtime and this way I can (hopefully) enjoy it as a fan while already having cashed. The Oilers went back to Stuart Skinner in net for Game 6, and he was good in the victory but also has allowed at least three goals six times this postseason. Skinner's road splits are much worse as well. If he allows at least three again, we should be fine.

    Pick Made: Sun 6:47 pm UTC
    May 21 2024, 12:10 am UTC
    League
    L.A. Angels
    9
    @ Houston
    7
    +1942.75
    156-91-1 in Last 248 MLB Picks
    +1036.25
    63-40 in Last 103 MLB ML Picks
    +330
    21-13 in Last 34 LAA ML Picks
    Analysis:

    You could make a runline argument here no doubt on Houston, but I'm OK with this price with the Astros back to the team we expected to them be and facing massively struggling Angels lefty Reid Detmers. He was terrific early on but then remembered he was Reid Detmers and has allowed at least four runs in five straight. Counterpart Framber Valdez has allowed just two ER over 14 innings in his past two.

    Pick Made: Mon 1:07 pm UTC
    May 20 2024, 7:07 pm UTC
    League
    Chi. White Sox
    3
    @ Toronto
    9
    +702.75
    33-9 in Last 42 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Mendick isn't Martin Maldonado bad, but also hitting just .224 overall and is 1-for-14 this month. He's 1-for-11 career off Jays starter Jose Berrios. It's possible Mendick isn't in the starting lineup but he has been playing regular of late and can't beat this price.

    Pick Made: Mon 2:59 pm UTC
    May 20 2024, 7:07 pm UTC
    League
    Chi. White Sox
    3
    @ Toronto
    9
    +1942.75
    156-91-1 in Last 248 MLB Picks
    +1036.25
    63-40 in Last 103 MLB ML Picks
    +920.5
    59-32 in Last 91 CHW ML Picks
    Analysis:

    It's the Victoria Day holiday in Canada so that's why the matinee for the Jays, who have won six straight at home vs. the White Sox. Jose Berrios has been excellent for Toronto on the mound and downright dominant at home (2-1, 0.87 ERA). Chicago's Erick Fedde has been about as good, but I'm still not buying it yet for the journeyman/ex-KBO righty and his road splits are considerably worse. Definitely hope the Sox can flip him for a decent haul this summer, though.

    Pick Made: Sun 10:10 pm UTC
    May 20 2024, 12:00 am UTC
    League
    Minnesota
    98
    @ Denver
    90
    +1971
    107-54 in Last 161 NBA ML Picks
    +729
    25-10 in Last 35 DEN ML Picks
    Analysis:

    I'd like the Wolves to win. Dunno, it's sorta hard watching the Nuggets after a while. All those kinda jerky weird motions that Nikola Jokic does. But don't get me wrong dude is a brilliant player. History has shown us that up-and-coming teams like Minnesota don't win Game 7s on the road. I very remember the Scottie Pippen migraine game in Detroit (that actually helped craft those Bulls as afterward MJ said forget this, I'm taking over). Well, at least he played a little that day and didn't beg out like a certain other time.

    Pick Made: Sun 3:51 pm UTC
    May 19 2024, 7:30 pm UTC
    League
    Indiana
    130
    @ New York
    109
    +1971
    107-54 in Last 161 NBA ML Picks
    +1130
    48-24 in Last 72 NY ML Picks
    Analysis:

    There aren't many bets I'm fine with losing but this would be one. Truly despise the Knicks but with Josh Hart and OG Anunoby both reportedly set to play, that should be enough at home. Great Sunday of hoops for sure.

    Pick Made: Sun 4:52 pm UTC
    May 19 2024, 6:35 pm UTC
    League
    L.A. Angels
    4
    @ Texas
    1
    +1942.75
    156-91-1 in Last 248 MLB Picks
    +1036.25
    63-40 in Last 103 MLB ML Picks
    +330
    21-13 in Last 34 LAA ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Feels light by about 20 cents. Both teams used their bullpens a ton last night in the 13-inning game but the Rangers I think came out much better from in that regard. And they are just better obviously. They owe us a W in a Michael Lorenzen start as he was terrific last time out but got no support.

    Pick Made: Sun 4:19 pm UTC
    May 19 2024, 5:35 pm UTC
    League
    Chi. White Sox
    2
    @ N.Y. Yankees
    7
    +702.75
    33-9 in Last 42 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    Could I hit big-league pitching? Heck no. I'd embarrass and probably hurt myself. But man the bottom half of that White Sox lineup today looks like the worst law firm in history: Julks, Lee, Remillard, Mendick and Maldonado. That's gold Jerry. Gold. Or whatever the polar opposite of gold is. Wouldn't let that group deal with a traffic ticket .. or you know, if somehow my $80 pants (I only wear shorts) were messed up in an accident and I found it necessary to sue/arrest someone. I still find that part so amusing. "Pants damaged beyond repair." Truly don't know who repairs pants (I know there was a shoe guy on Seinfeld's block) or who would even bother to do so.

    Pick Made: Sun 3:20 pm UTC
    May 19 2024, 5:35 pm UTC
    League
    Chi. White Sox
    2
    @ N.Y. Yankees
    7
    +702.75
    33-9 in Last 42 MLB Player Props Picks
    Analysis:

    See my Martin Maldonado prop pick -- if he now hits a three-run homer just kill me. Truly horrific lineup for the Sox. I'm surprised this isn't 1.5.

    Pick Made: Sun 4:05 pm UTC
    May 18 2024, 11:10 pm UTC
    League
    Oakland
    3
    @ Kansas City
    5
    +1942.75
    156-91-1 in Last 248 MLB Picks
    +1036.25
    63-40 in Last 103 MLB ML Picks
    +1317
    21-4 in Last 25 KC ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Gonna go back to pillaging with wifey out of town, but I saw this number and am like huh? The books clearly don't trust Royals starter Seth Lugo much, and I have to say I can't believe he has been this good at 6-1 with a 1.66 ERA. But until Seth proves us wrong and as long as he's not arrested entering the ballpark, which apparently we can't rule out now, I feel pretty good about this.

    Pick Made: May 18, 1:58 pm UTC
    May 18 2024, 8:05 pm UTC
    League
    Colorado
    4
    @ San Francisco
    14
    +1942.75
    156-91-1 in Last 248 MLB Picks
    +1036.25
    63-40 in Last 103 MLB ML Picks
    +564.5
    11-3 in Last 14 SF ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Came in to rehydrate and saw this. I'm flat-out telling you that I am off the Giants for the rest of the season if they lose here. Don't know about you but in every sport for whatever reason there seems to be a couple teams I can't figure out. SF is definitely one in MLB, and it's like every year at least since Buster Posey retired. Usually it rotates stay-away teams. Just not a fan of that lineup, but Colorado's is pretty garbage today sans Charlie Blackmon and Elias Diaz. Giants starter Kyle Harrison has allowed four runs over his last 23 innings.

    Pick Made: May 18, 7:32 pm UTC
    May 18 2024, 2:10 am UTC
    League
    Cincinnati
    3
    @ L.A. Dodgers
    7
    +1942.75
    156-91-1 in Last 248 MLB Picks
    +1036.25
    63-40 in Last 103 MLB ML Picks
    +2294.5
    60-22 in Last 82 LAD ML Picks
    Analysis:

    Maybe I put too much into intangibles but back in the day -- and obviously I was a million miles from a professional athlete -- I always played better angry. In high school after my math teacher told me that I was going to flunk out, I went out the next day and scored more goals than anyone in the history of the hockey team. OK, I'm excellent at math actually and that's Michael Scott but you get my drift. I believe the Dodgers will be quite perturbed tonight on a two-game skid and getting spanked in the series opener last night. Any higher and I'd have to play runline but would prefer not to. James Paxton is 2-0 with a 2.16 ERA at home.

    Pick Made: May 17, 11:44 am UTC
    May 18 2024, 12:30 am UTC
    League
    New York
    103
    @ Indiana
    116
    +1928.25
    165-105 in Last 270 NBA Picks
    +280
    6-3 in Last 9 IND ATS Picks
    Analysis:

    Who would have guessed Miles McBride might have swung this series? Like to pride myself on knowing where 95 percent of the NBA played college hoops, but I forgot about that dude at West Virginia. But then I don't think about anything West Virginia often. Probably because I had a flat tire there once driving to Florida and as soon as I heard a banjo left the car and ran. All rural bad movies start that way (it was my radio). McBride started Game 5 and gave Tyrese Haliburton fits. I'm sure Rick Carlisle has a countermove tonight but 6.5 points? That extra day off in between games (first time this series) has to help the short-handed Knicks more. Right!? Right!? Bueller!? Bueller!?

    Pick Made: May 17, 2:34 pm UTC