I'm expecting a big day from A.J. Green who is looking to bounce back after being ejected against the Jaguars. Look for a competitive start to the game that should allow the Bengals to win or at least push at +3 in the first half.

This is going to be a huge game for A.J. Green. If not for a fluky play at the end of Monday Night Football versus the Colts, the Titans would be on an 0-4-1 ATS run. They're the better team, but this line is inflated. Take the points.

The Bengals defense matches up well with the Titans, ranking seventh in rush defense DVOA. With DeMarco Murray not looking healthy, I don't see the Titans scoring a ton in this game. The Titans don't have a great pass rush either to take advantage of Cincinnati's offensive weakness. Though the Bengals seem like a terrible team, they're 3-2 in their last five games, with the two losses on the road against elite defenses. The Titans are 1-4 ATS in their last five, with the only cover on that miracle Derrick Henry TD on Monday night. The Titans also have to travel the following Thursday to face the Steelers, so they might not be 100 percent focused here.