Derek Carr returns, but he's not 100 percent. And the Chargers should move the ball well against an Oakland defense allowing 5.7 yards per play (27th, NFL). Take the points.

I'm all over the Under on this matchup. The Raiders should look to pound the ball as much as possible and not overexpose Derek Carr to the Chargers' pass rush. The poor air quality, while not being a common situation in handicapping, would seem to have a limiting effect on the scoring as well (I don't expect many big plays in the second half). Then throw in that a 50.5 total would've been Under in nine of the 10 games these teams have played this year, and it seems like this number is more about perception than production.

The Chargers finally got the monkey off their back last week, and they have a good chance to make it two wins in a row in this divisional matchup. Oakland gets back Derek Carr, but how healthy will he be in his first game back? The Raiders also have to worry about facing the Chiefs on Thursday night the following week. The Chargers should be able to throw the ball all over this weak secondary. I also like the potential for a backdoor cover if we need one here. Note that the Raiders have won by more than three in this matchup just twice in the last 11 meetings between these two teams. Grab the hook.