Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
The road team has covered six of the past seven meetings in this series and I see that continuing tonight. Green Bay will be without its top three corners, meaning Alshon Jeffey and Cameron Meredith should have big games. If Brian Hoyer plays just average in the red zone, the Bears should hang close throughout.
Green Bay is laying way too many points here. QB Aaron Rodgers says he welcomes the Thursday kickoff to more quickly rinse the bad taste of Sunday’s defeat from his mouth. It would better serve him and the offense to practice through a bye week and get things right. On defense, the Pack will cope with the loss of three corners. Bears QB Brian Hoyer is on a four-week roll of 300-yards-plus games.
The Bears can tease you a bit with how they are able to move the ball between the 20s. They don't punch it in the end zone. True, Aaron Rodgers isn't playing up to his standards and Eddie Lacy is hurt, but Rodgers will outplay Brian Hoyer and Green Bay's defense will make Chicago's offense one-dimensional. The Pack rolls.
Despite a woeful 1-5 record and a lack of points scored, the Bears offense has been able to move the ball in most games, and the 389 yards gained last week represents the Bears' fourth straight game with at least that total. Sooner or later, it's going to translate to wins, and having Alshon Jeffery at full health helps here. This Packers team has seemed off offensively for much of the year and is shorthanded at running back. Green Bay's pass defense has been mediocre and is dealing with multiple injuries in the secondary. I like the Bears' chances at a backdoor cover if behind in the fourth quarter.
Yes, the Packers are struggling, and we know the Bears are as well. Aaron Rodgers looks a bit lost at times and his accuracy has been off. The Bears are averaging 44 yards more per game than Green Bay, if that's any indication of what's been happening. The Packers are averaging a 22-22 score this season, and we have a total at 45.5 against a Bears squad that averages just 16 ppg. Green Bay has stayed Under the total in eight of its last nine home games, including the Bears’ 17-13 win at Lambeau last season. Let's ride the Under again.