Arizona has covered five of its past six meetings with the Rams, but this number is too high. The Rams won 24-22 at Arizona last October as 7-point dogs and Arizona was then near an elite rating. I have dropped the Cards a full-point since the season opener. The Cards have been in a tailspin since week 17 last season and have covered only one of six since then. We know how good they can be, we just haven't seen that team much lately. Arizona is 2-7 ATS in its last nine home games.

The Cardinals' D-line injuries have led to them giving up 5.1 yards per carry the past two weeks. That's a nice recipe for Todd Gurley and the Rams, who have bounced back from their disastrous opener with two impressive wins. This is too many points.

Jeff Fisher may be inching closer to saving his job for another year. His Rams have responded well since a poor opening loss, with consecutive wins as underdogs. This Sunday, they'll take on a Cardinals team that was destroyed last week by a Bills team that looked like the stronger club. Frankly, Arizona may be overvalued based on its recent history. The Rams won outright in Arizona last season and, the year prior, knocked out Carson Palmer with an injury. Even at home, this is too steep of a line with which to back the Cardinals.