Yes I know it's Trevor Siemian's first road start, and no DeMarcus Ware, but Shane Ray can bring the heat opposite Von Miller, too. I'm looking for a big day out of C.J. Anderson against the NFL's 32nd-ranked rush defense (138 yards per game), which is still without suspended LB Vontaze Burfict.

The Bengals always win at home in the regular season. Well, almost always. Their straight-up record the past three years is 19-4-1. Props to Broncos QB Trevor Siemian for a sparkling splashdown as a starter. Before anointing him the second coming of Peyton, check out how he fares on the road. Cincy patched up its pathetic pass protection after a seven-week sack allowance in Week One by keeping QB Andy Dalton upright all but once against Pittsburgh. Protection is essential against LB Von Miller.

The Broncos are taking the show on the road for the first time this season. That doesn't bode well for Trevor Siemian, who hasn’t impressed much in his first two games as starter. A one-dimensional offense will give Cincy’s defense a break after games against the Jets and Steelers. Also consider last December’s matchup, where the Bengals took the Broncos into overtime in Denver with AJ McCarron at the helm and no Tyler Eifert. DeMarcus Ware’s injury takes some of the bite out of the Broncos’ elite defense. The Bengals should be able to win comfortably against the defending champs here.

We're going to get a good game out of the Bengals at home and the price is rather cheap. I've got the Bengals 1-point better on a neutral field over the Broncos and give the Bengals 3-points for home field. So when I should be laying -4, I only have to lay a field goal, which has me smiling before the win even cashes. The Bengals aren't going to do a lot against the Denver defense, but the play is more about the Broncos' offense struggling in Trevor Siemian's first road start. The Bengals are on a 13-4-2 ATS run over their last 19 games. Cincinnati -3, and at -120 if you have to, is the play.