Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
This series looked like a laugher right from the start and it has been, with the Bucks winning all three games by at least 16 points. Even with Blake Griffin back for Game 3, the Pistons couldn’t keep things close. The Bucks could earn important extended time off before the second round with a win Monday, so look for them to keep their foot on the gas and end up covering once again.
The last two games of this series have gone over. But just barely, by a combined 8.5 points. The game before that went under on its own by 8.5, and my projections see Detroit's defense having its best effort of the series. The Pistons haven't shown enough ability to push the number on their own, so take the Under (-112), which hits in two-thirds of my simulations.
The Pistons have given us little reason to think they can compete at all against the Bucks, losing all three games so far by an average of 24 ppg. But Blake Griffin is questionable, and if he plays, this is a lot of points. Even if he doesn't, the Pistons should show some pride and go down fighting. My projections see a single-digit game, with Detroit covering in two-thirds of my simulations. Take the pile of points with the home team.