The Grizzlies have won two of three meetings with Golden State this season, though they absorbed a 15-point home loss to the Warriors in the most recent matchup Feb. 10. With Memphis on a 5-1 ATS run, I'll back the Grizz to keep this to single digits. Take the points.

The Under has hit in six straight Golden State home games. Not surprisingly, early action is all on the Under, pushing this total down 3.5 points to 208. But I'm projecting 219 points for Grizzlies-Warriors, with the Over cashing in 70 percent of my simulations. Go against the grain, take the Over.