The Twins have won 17 of their last 20, though a lot of that is against easy competition and the Yankees are better than any team the Twins have taken down all season (they lost two of three to the Dodgers and were swept by the Orioles). Yankees starter Carlos Rodon has mostly been good this season and Twins starter Chris Paddack is going very well right now, but he's feasted on weaker lineups. The Yankees can knock him around.

Carlos Rodon gives the Yanks the edge in this spot. Yanks have been swinging the bats well….and most books are already over -140. Grab the value

I played New York at -125 on SuperBook. I have the Yankees winning 59 percent of simulations which suggests this money line should be -144. Paddack has been decent for Minnesota so far, but I have concerns with his slider (.373 xwOBA) and his changeup (.399 xwOBA) against the power lineup the Yankees will run out there. Rodon has been great and the bullpen is rested after a day off. I'm on the Yankees.