The cards are dreadful…they can’t score, they don’t hit HRs…and the starter tonight isn’t great. I’ll take the plus money. Half unit

Jose Butto has been solid this season and he is averaging a career high SwStr% which certainly is a good sign for his K Rate. He gets a favorable matchup against a Saint Louis Cardinals lineup that strikes out a lot and possesses the 7th highest K rate against opposing right handed pitchers. Butto has eclipsed this in four of five starts this season as well.

St. Louis has scored three or fewer runs in six of its last eight games. For the season, the Cards rank 26th in wRC+ and 28th in OPS (.625). St. Louis starter Miles Mikolas, 35, is posting career-worst numbers in a lot of metrics, including allowing a 45.2 hard-hit percentage. Look for the Mets to get a strong start from Jose Butto -- he's allowed two or fewer runs in four of his five starts -- and notch their second straight win in the series.

Jose Butto's worst start of the season came against the Cardinals, but he also managed to pitch 5.2 innings while allowing four earned runs. That qualifies as his second shortest start of the season, as he's pitching six innings in every other start except when he walked five Dodgers. His workload has consistently been at 90-plus pitches, and if you're throwing 90 pitches, you're likely to be pitching into the sixth inning. I like taking Overs on both 15.5 outs and 4.5 strikeouts today at affordable prices.