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The Astros are among the best teams at not striking out. This number just seems a bit high in what should be a great enviornment at Yankee stadium
The Houston Astros possess the lowest K Rate in the league and make for a very difficult matchup for Luis Gil. Gil has pitched well this season, but I would argue that he's run hot on strikeouts and is due for some regression that department. Houston is the most difficult matchup for opposing right handers and I will even pay significant juice because this line really should be 5.5 (and juiced under).
Luis Gil is walking a ton of batters this year, but an incredibly low .224 BABIP plus a very high K rate has helped him deliver a 3.19 ERA thus far. But now he's up against the team that strikes out at the lowest rate in MLB at 6.47 Ks per nine innings. Only two pitchers in the last two weeks struck the Astros out six times, and they got that sixth K in the seventh and eighth inning of their starts. I think Gil needs to pitch into the seventh inning to get over this total, so this is a nice value on this prop.
Justin Verlander has a chance to lead the Stros back from oblivion and so far, so good. Houston has had a lot of success in this park and this is a much bigger series for them than the NYY. Luis Gil has a lot going for him here, but he throws a ton of balls and patient lineups will eventually get to him. Verlander has great splits vs Judge, Soto, Stanton and Torres and Volpe is regressing to last year's form. I like the Astros to be stuck in with their approach and bask in the boos that will rain down in the Bronx