Luis Severino has gone over this number in one of his starts and ended with six strikeouts in another, so he has been all around this line, but that's why we see the 6.5 to begin with. I think this should be at 5.5 or at least closer to -200 on this under 6.5. He had trouble with walks last time out and hasn't been very efficient, lasting just five innings in each start. Half unit, I'm also going to play some on Severino over 1.5 walks as well.

This is a big number for Luis Severino who has failed to record seven strikeouts in 19 of 21 starts dating back to last season, including two of his three appearances this season. Severino's possesses a 7.9% SwStrk% which is the lowest mark of his nine year career, in addition to posting a career worst 87.5% contact rate. Severino will face a Pirates lineup that ranked 17th in K rate.