Red Sox starter Rick Porcello looked great in his last two outings, both against the Yankees. Boston went 23-11 behind him and the Over hit in 21 of those games. The team with the best record in baseball wins again Wednesday. Boston takes a commanding 3-1 lead in the American League Championship Series.

Value Wednesday is on the home Astros as they look to avoid heading to Boston down 3-1. Consecutive losses against a Red Sox team with 108 wins makes them a trendy underdog for bettors. Yet look for the defending champs with their backs against the walls to respond accordingly and even the series at home.

Thus far the Astros and Boston Red Sox have had a runs parade that has been advantageous for Over bettors. Rising pressure is on the Astros bullpen after imploding Tuesday. From the Red Sox side of things Rick Porcello will likely pitch a patterned limited amount of innings. That puts high value on the Under as bettors chase hits and runs against both bullpens.