It's true Dinelson Lamet is pitching well and the Padres are at home, but Gio Gonzalez has been dominant no matter where he pitches lately. Over his last four starts, he's gone 28 innings while allowing three earned runs. I'll take the much better team in a pick-'em.

The Nationals are winning 72 percent of my simulations Sunday, making them a strong play over the Padres. Behind lefty Gio Gonzalez, Washington should improve to 8-2 in its last 10 games at San Diego. The Padres rank dead last in OPS (.661) versus left-handed pitching.