The Athletics are hitting .333 against Toronto starter Marcus Stroman and they also have won six straight starts by Sean Manaea against AL East opponents. Let's take the value side Thursday behind a pitcher who is a bit undervalued in the market.

The trusty projection model tells me the Blue Jays and Athletics should combine for about seven or fewer runs two-thirds of the time in their Thursday showdown. This gives us a solid position on the Under of a total of 9 with room to spare. Toronto has played Under in four straight home games against losing teams, while Oakland is on a 5-2 Under run in road games.