Simulation Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Expert Picks
This is a great opportunity to bet on Jake Arrieta regression. Arrieta has been one of the most unlucky pitchers in 2017 according to expected wOBA. We can calculate expected wOBA allowed based on the exit velocity and launch angle of balls hit against a pitcher. Arrieta has a xwOBA of .293 which is over 50 points lower than his actual .346 wOBA so far. Moving to Dodger stadium should be a very friendly pitching environment. I have the Cubs winning exactly 50 percent of simulations.
I'm projecting 9.3 runs for Cubs-Dodgers on Friday night, giving us a strong lean to the Over. The Over is cashing in 65 percent of my simulations.