Expect the energy to be up for the Cincinnati faithful in this Ohio Cup showdown. The Indians aren't a particularly dangerous team against lefties, with a 26th-ranked .661 OPS against southpaws. Reds starter Amir Garrett was knocked around in his first start back with the Reds, but that came against the Cubs at Wrigley, so he gets a pass. The Reds find a way to win this one.

This line has skyrocketed, and now there's big value on the home underdogs. In my simulations, Cincy is winning 56 percent of the time. Take the Reds, who have won eight of their last 11 home games.