These teams combined for 27 runs Tuesday. With these two offenses clicking and thriving against average pitching, I made this total 13. Play the Over.

Once again the wrong team is favored in this series. The wOBA model has the Washington Nationals winning 54 percent of simulations at Coors field with Tanner Roark on the mound. The Nationals all hit right-handed pitching very well and should find a way to get to Chatwood early and often.

The projection model tells me the Nationals should beat the Rockies 55 percent of the time in their Wednesday matchup. This means Washington should be favored, but instead we’ll hop on the huge value with the Nationals as an underdog. The Nationals have won 10 of 13 road starts by Tanner Roark, and are 6-1 in their last seven road games overall. Colorado has won just one of five starts by Tyler Chatwood in the third game of a series. Back the underdog.