The Detroit offense is on a role, having scored 32 runs in their last two games. They have a tough task ahead in this one with James Paxton pitching lights out so far this year, but Daniel Norris has been solid as of late, and the Seattle lineup is in flux with Mitch Haniger and Kyle Seager hurt. Though the Tigers aren't at full strength either, I like their chances with at home with the offense clicking.

While Mariners lefty James Paxton has been outstanding, Tigers starter Daniel Norris is solid and Detroit is offering value at this big underdog price. The Tigers slug .460 against left-handed pitching, which ranks seventh in the majors, and they've scored 37 runs over the past three games. The Tigers are winning 51 percent of my simulations Wednesday. Grab them at +125.