While this may seem like a high price to pay for Kansas City, Ian Kennedy has been solid at home this season with a 4-3 mark and 3.27 ERA compared to a 2-2 road mark and 7.92 ERA for Minnesota's Jose Berrios. Plus, the Twins are by far the worst team in baseball as the first to 100 losses, so taking the Royals is a bargain here, especially when you consider my simulations have them winning 76 percent of the time.