Simulation Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Understanding Public and Money
Read More
Expert Picks
The Pirates have dismal history in Milwaukee working against them, where they have lost nine straight, and the pitching matchup in the opener suggests little value on each side.Both starters are back in the rotation after stints in the minors because of poor performance. Wily Peralta (5-9, 6.00 ERA) gave up four earned runs in six innings to take a loss against the Mariners in his last start, though he allowed just six total earned runs his prior three. He is 4-4 with a 6.36 ERA in nine home starts. Pirates starter Chad Kuhl (3-1, 3.62 ERA) had a handful of strong performances before fading. The rookie has won two of his last three outings while allowing six total earned runs. Even so, both starter shave been vulnerable and I wouldn’t be surprised to see one or both of them knocked out early. I am going to skip the side and support the Over in this contest.
Pittsburgh is a small road favorite at Milwaukee, providing even more value on the runline opposite starting pitcher Wily Peralta, who is just 4-4 with a 6.36 ERA at home. My simulations show the Pirates with a 75% chance of winning and a 57% shot at covering the runline, making it the more profitable play.