Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
The underdog was a dream pick when the line opened above two touchdowns. Still, in a projected points-starved matchup with a total of only 42, a 13.5 spot remains sizable. Fresno leads the Mountain West in fewest points allowed, S.D. State in total defense. The Aztecs keep things close, with their last eight outings decided by one score. An effective rushing attack and a kicker, John Baron II, who regularly hits from 50-plus yards, enhance the Aztecs’ chances to cover.
Styles make fights and stylistically, this is a difficult matchup for Fresno State. One they should win, but I expect Rocky Long's defense to be at its best following a bad loss. Fresno will get the win, but it will have to fight for it.