The visiting RedHawks wrap up a disappointing season on a night they loathe playing. Miami is winless ATS in the past half-dozen tries on Tuesdays. Adding to the challenge, RBs Kenny Young and Alonzo Smith, who have accounted for the vast majority of rushing yards this season, are questionable with injuries. More trends that argue for the Cardinals: Miami has covered in one of the past five away games, and the underdog has lost ATS just once in the past six meetings. Home teams have an extra-special edge in these midweek MAC games. Even with the line dropping from 21, some value remains.

Ball State is winless in MAC play and clearly overmatched against most conference opponents. But Miami (Ohio) is no juggernaut, just 4-7 overall and 1-6 ATS in its last seven games. Moreover, the underdog has covered five of the past six in this series. In my simulations, the Cardinals are losing by nine and covering 66 percent of the time. Grab the points as Ball State covers for the second straight week.