No. 1 reason is this is Virginia, the No. 1 defense and one of the slowest teams on the offensive end. The three best defensive teams that Wake has played in 2018-19 is at Tennessee where they scored 64, at Georgia Tech where they scored 79 but 33 of those points came in the last 10 minutes and then they scored 65 versus Duke at home. Those three teams all like to play up-tempo with on average 72 possessions per game. Against Virginia there will only be 60 possessions calculating points per possession for Wake will be 51. Virginia 75, Wake 51.