Since conference play started, Davidson's Bob McKillop has implemented a methodical offense that produces only 60 possessions per game and a tight zone defense to confuse foes. Overall, the Wildcats have allowed 1.03 points per possession, but in Atlantic 10 matchups, they allow only 0.89 points a possession. That's a huge difference. St. Bonaventure loves to shoot threes in transition and drive to the hoop, which creates a high FTA/FGA ratio. Both strengths will be minimized by Davidson's ability to get back on defense and play a solid zone that will slow the Bonnies down to a half-court offense.

This spread is basically about Davidson's home court advantage because they've both got the same rating. The difference between the two squads not showing is current form. St. Bonaventure has lost three of its last four with all three losses coming on the road. Davidson has won its last four and jumped out second-place (4-1) in A-10 play. The team has covered its last three and stayed Under in the last five while holding opponents to 39 percent shooting. Davidson keeps its roll going.

My data has Davidson at least nine points better than St. Bonaventure on Friday, covering the short number in about two-thirds of simulations. The Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their past seven home games and on a 7-3 ATS run against A-!0 opponents.