Last week we got to see the new-look NY Giants with less talent and experience at wide receiver. The Giants will be very conservative running the clock and trying to play field position. Seattle is still trying to find its offense, while its defense remains strong. Go Under.
6-2-1 in last 9 NFL ATS picks | +392
Definitely understand the concerns about the Vikings, but there's so much value on the Minnesota side now. This is a team that beat the Packers by 13 and was winning that game before Aaron Rodgers got injured. They also went on the road and picked up a tough victory at Chicago the week before. The Ravens are just impossible to believe in at this point, and I'm going to jump on this value. Simply put, I'm taking the better team at home.
1-0-2 in last 3 NFL ATS picks | +100
Super Bowl revenge doesn't factor into my calculations. I've got the Patriots winning by more than a touchdown and covering 59 percent of simulations. The Falcons just aren't the same team this year, in part due to the change at offensive coordinator. New England's defense has shown improvement lately and will support the offense enough to cover.
13-5-1 in last 19 NFL picks | +797
The Chargers are finally giving Hunter Henry the snaps he deserves, and it's paid off the past two weeks. Denver's offensive struggles are real; the Broncos will be without Emmanuel Sanders, with Demaryius Thomas playing on an injured leg. Take L.A. to win its third straight.
22-17-2 in last 41 NFL picks | +264
The Bears have covered all three of their home games, and Mitch Trubisky has given the team new life. Carolina, though it had extra rest, will be playing without defensive leader Luke Kuechly (46 tackles, INT, FF, 2 passes defensed). Play on the home dog.
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