Josh Nagel is a Reno-based analyst and radio host who has worked in the Nevada sports handicapping industry for 17 years. He has covered the wagering industry on a variety of platforms, and has won numerous sports handicapping contests. For insightful analysis, Nagel is unmatched. He specializes in college sports and prides himself on consistency. Last year, he nailed 67 percent of his bowl picks. For Josh Nagel media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
LAST 37 MLB PICKS
22-14-1 LAST 37 MLB PICKS | +1099
Rays right-hander Chris Archer is 8-7 with a 3.84 ERA this season. Respectable numbers for sure, but he continues to fetch prices worthy of baseball's elite starters, and I believe he falls short of that category. Toronto rookie Chris Rowley looked strong in his MLB debut, allowing just one run while beating the Pirates. He catches a break Thursday in facing a Tampa Bay club with the lowest run production in MLB this month. Let's take the overlay with a live underdog in the Blue Jays.
22-14-1 in last 37 MLB picks | +1099
Lance Lynn has allowed just seven earned runs over the course of his past seven starts, as the surging Cardinals starter has earned four wins and three no-decisions during that span. He has also held Boston's current lineup to just a .147 in an admittedly small sample. But this is a value spot Wednesday behind one of the hottest pitchers in the league.
The Twins provide a value price Tuesday in a situational spot against the Indians. Veteran Bartolo Colon has struggled for much of the season but has own his last tow starts. Cleveland's lineup is hitting just .239 against Colon, who is 7-4 with a 3.81 ERA in his career against the Indians, the club he broke in with in MLB 20 years ago. Cleveland starter Danny Salazar ha a 4.45 career ERA against the Twins, who are hitting .321 against him.
The Twins have lost five straight road starts by Jose Berrios, but they are 7-1 when he starts against losing teams and the price is right to back Minnesota on Saturday against Detroit. Tigers starter Jordan Zimmermann has a 5.36 ERA in daytime starts, and the team is 3-8 when he faces AL Central opponents.
I normally don't like to lay prices even this thick, but the Mets feel a little discounted Thursday behind stalwart Jacob deGrom. He is 5-0 lifetime against the Phillies while holding them to a .207 average. Philadelphia starter Vince Velasquez has given up eight runs on 10 hits with seven walks in 11 innings over two starts against New York this season.
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