Simulation Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Understanding Public and Money
Read More
Expert Picks
Seven strikeouts is a big number, but it's one Jared Jones has reached in each of his five starts this year while amassing an incredible 39:4 K:BB ratio in 29 innings. The Giants are a middle-of-the-road team in terms of striking out, but two of the last three SPs they faced struck them out six times (one in less than five innings), and the other is a guy in Martin Perez who always posts a low strikeout rate. With Jones' stuff, I think he should be favored to get to seven Ks instead of a 'dog with the market projecting him to pitch into the sixth inning.
We have been on the young Pirates starter since his first outing of the season and continue to look for different ways to back Jared Jones. Wipeout stuff and a lot of self confidence serving him well first trip through the league. Big ballpark should help him here, I like him in a matinee and all we need is to stay lose. Giants are not a goof baseball team and we avoid some bullpen variance, Jones is 2nd in MLB in K/W ratio in the 1st 5 innings, 6th in WHIP, 9th in K/9 and 19th in BABIP (.196), forcing ugly ABs and soft contact on bad swings. He starts fast and we don't need a ton out of the Pirates bats
Winn is a 26 year old hurler making his 11th career start today. He's only eclipsed 6 Ks one time dating back to last season, so this number appears much closer to Winn's ceiling, rather than his floor. Speaking of last season, Winn's whiff rate is down significantly and leads me to believe he is running hot on Ks as well.