Warriors vs. Pacers line, picks: Advanced computer NBA model releases selections for Monday matchup

The Golden State Warriors take on the Indiana Pacers in a cross-conference tilt at 7 p.m. ET on Monday. Golden State is favored by 3.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 213.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Warriors vs. Pacers picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 8 of the 2021-22 NBA season up almost $2,000 on all top-rated NBA picks this season. It's also on a stunning 121-78 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread that dates back to last season. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows the Warriors have the best statistical profile of any NBA team. Golden State leads the league in net rating, out-scoring opponents by 12.0 points per 100 possessions, and the Warriors are in the top five in both offensive and defensive efficiency. Golden State is shooting 47 percent from the floor and 36.7 percent from 3-point range, with the Warriors leading the NBA in assists and assist percentage. The Warriors are also No. 1 in the NBA in defensive rating, allowing opponents to score only 99.9 points per 100 possessions.

The model also knows the Pacers are playing well recently, winning the last three games and scoring more than 1.25 points per possession in those victories. For the season, Indiana is scoring nearly 1.1 points per possession, an above-average figure, and the Pacers are in the top six of the NBA in 2-point shooting (54.9 percent) and offensive rebound rate (29.4 percent). On defense, the Pacers are limiting opponents to 1.08 points per possession and securing more than 74 percent of available rebounds, both of which are strongly above-average this season.

Now, it has set its sights on Warriors vs. Pacers. We can tell you the model is leaning under the total, and it also says one side of the spread has all of the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Warriors vs. Pacers? And which side of the spread has all of the value? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Warriors vs. Pacers spread you should be all over Monday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!