NFL Week 7 Bears vs. Patriots lines, odds, picks: Monday Night Football predictions and best bets from proven model

The New England Patriots (3-3) will host the Chicago Bears (2-4) on Monday Night Football. The Patriots come in on a two-game win streak that includes a 38-15 victory against the Browns last Sunday. The Bears have lost three in a row, including an ugly 12-7 setback to Washington on Thursday Night Football in Week 6.

Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Mass. New England is an 8.5-point favorite in the latest Bears vs. Patriots odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the Over/Under for total points scored is 40. Before you make any Patriots vs. Bears picks of your own, you NEED to check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 7 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 146-107 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP.

The model knows the Patriots have been finding a way to stay competitive no matter who the quarterback is. Rookie Bailey Zappe threw for 309 yards in last week's victory and running back Rhamondre Stevenson rushed for 161 the previous week. The Bears have struggled on offense, averaging just 15.5 points (31st in NFL), while the Patriots allow less than 20 per game (12th).

The model also knows the Bears have a steady defense and a strong rushing attack led by Khalil Herbert (402 yards), David Montgomery (246) and Fields (282). Chicago averages almost 171 rushing yards per game, most in the NFL, and gets 5.2 yards per carry, sixth-best. The Bears have eight takeaways, including three interceptions by Eddie Jackson, and New England has turned it over 11 times, tied for third-most in the league.

Now, the model has set its sights on Bears vs. Patriots on Monday Night Football. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and one side of the spread is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NFL picks.

So who wins Patriots vs. Bears on Monday Night Football? And which side of the spread is hitting well over 50 percent of the time? Join SportsLine now to see which side of the Bears vs. Patriots spread to back, all from the model that's an amazing 146-107 on NFL picks!