The Brewers have run very hot in one-run games at 7-1, but they've also lost by more than one run in just seven of their 25 games so far. The Yankees have won by multiple runs nine times in 27 games as they've also been hot in one-run results with a 9-3 record. The Brewers have the better offense (5.36 runs per game and a 115 OPS+ vs. 4.37 runs per game and a 106 OPS+), and Yankees starter Carlos Rodon is due for regression as I don't believe he's pitched to the level of a 2.70 ERA with a 22:13 K:BB ratio. I like a full unit on the run line and half-unit on the money line in this one.