The No. 6 seed Indiana Pacers look to close out their series with the No. 3 seed Milwaukee Bucks when they meet in Game 5 on Tuesday at 9:30 p.m. ET from Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee. For this game, SportsLine consensus lists Indiana as the 4-point favorite, while the over/under is 216 points (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). Giannis Antetokounmpo (calf) and Damian Lillard (Achilles) are both listed as doubtful for Milwaukee, while Tyrese Haliburton (back) is questionable for Indiana.

Before you make any Pacers vs. Bucks picks, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters the third week of the 2024 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 91-62 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,600. Anyone following has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows Pacers power forward Pascal Siakam has been lighting up Milwaukee this series. In four postseason games against them this year, he is averaging 25.8 points, 10.5 rebounds, one steal and one block in 39.5 minutes. He has two double-doubles in the series. In Game 1, he scored 36 points, while grabbing 13 rebounds in a 109-94 loss. He followed that up with a 37-point and 11-rebound performance in a 125-108 win in Game 2.

The model also knows despite the possibility of having to play without Antetokounmpo and Lillard, Milwaukee still has some firepower in the form of small forward Khris Middleton. In four starts in the series, he is averaging 26.3 points, 8.8 rebounds and five assists in 38 minutes. He has registered three double-doubles this postseason. He poured in 42 points and grabbed 10 rebounds in a 121-118 overtime loss in Game 3, and scored 25 points, grabbed 10 rebounds and dished out five assists in Game 4.

The model has simulated Pacers vs. Bucks 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time!

Who wins Pacers vs. Bucks, and which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 91-62 roll on top-rated NBA picks!