We have no business taking the Browns in any situation this year, but this is a game they can win. Cleveland is great running the ball, ranking sixth in rush DVOA and piling up 201 rushing yards against the Lions last week. The Jags are terrible against the run: 30th in rush defense DVOA, 29th in Adjusted Line Yards against, 28th in yards per attempt. On the flip side, Cleveland is excellent defending the run, ranking second in rush defense DVOA, second in Adjusted Line Yards against and first in yards per attempt. The Jaguars offense is also ravaged by injuries; are you trusting Blake Bortles in this scenario in potentially bad weather? Me either.

The Jags' defense has played outstanding all season long. The Browns quietly have been stout against the run. They’ll be without LB Jamie Collins, however, because of an injury. Still, look for this to be a Blake Bortles vs. DeShone Kizer game. I like the rookie.