Detroit's defense has stepped up over the last few weeks, and even though Chicago has been solid at home this season, I'm not sure it has enough offense to keep up with Matthew Stafford and a Lions unit that appears to have found its stride. Even outdoors on the road, Detroit should be able to limit Chicago in both phases. And if it does come down to a late score being needed by either party, I'll trust Stafford and the Lions to improve on the their 8-0 ATS streak in the month of November.

It will be cold in Chicago, and Detroit QB Matt Stafford prefers indoor settings, so he is not fond of Solider Field. But the Lions’ offense is on a roll and, with the line healthier than it’s been in weeks, points should not be hard to come by. Poor Bears rookie QB Mitch Trubisky has no WR threats to speak of. Detroit’s secondary is first-rate, so it will be a day of handoffs for Chicago -- at least until the Lions lead by two scores or more in the fourth quarter.

It's hard to back the Bears after their no-show last week, but in that game Chicago was in the uncomfortable position of being a favorite. Now they're a home dog, a situation they've thrived in this year (4-0 ATS). Take Chicago.

The Lions have covered eight straight November games under Jim Caldwell and I see that streak continuing Sunday against the Bears and their anemic offense. In my simulations, Detroit is covering 62 percent of the time.

The Bears' offense continues to limp along, and now they've even had trouble running the ball in two of their last three games. Detroit's defense has done well on the road this year aside from the Saints game, and I don't think they give up 20 points in Chicago. The Bears defense hasn't given up more than 23 in any of their five home games this year. This total should close at 40 or less, so now's the time to hop on.