Under John Harbaugh, the Ravens are 7-2 coming off a bye. Overall in the NFL this year, teams coming off a bye are 11-4. Baltimore gets Danny Woodhead back while the Packers will be without their top two running backs. Back the Ravens.

The Ravens are thought to have a poor offense and an excellent defense, which would lend itself to the Under. But their last five games have all gone Over. Part of that is low totals (like this one), but they've also been held under 20 points just once in that stretch. The Packers defense had given up 23 or more points four times in a row before stifling an abysmal Bears offense last week. Because the number is so low and because Brett Hundley at least looked serviceable last week, I think the Over here is a relatively safe play.

With Baltimore's struggles this year, it doesn't seem to make much sense making them road favorites. But here's why they are: the defense is excellent, already a top-tier unit against the pass and getting much better against the run with Brandon Williams healthy. The offense isn't great but is capable of winning behind the running game if it's a close contest. And the Ravens have played a pretty brutal schedule, losing to the Jags, Vikings and Titans on the road, and the Steelers and Bears at home. Fresh off the bye, the Ravens should easily contain Brett Hundley, who won't have his top two RBs in this game, and get a win here.