The road team has gone 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings, but you can throw all that business out the window. This is personal and when LeBron James feels something personal, he steps up and beats anybody. Kyrie Irving returns, and LeBron is jilted, angry. I got my man LeBron anytime he gets vested in a situation that matters to him. Cavs gets the cover.

It's a blockbuster opening night in the NBA, with the Eastern Conference favorites squaring off in Cleveland. In my simulations, the Cavs are winning by eight and covering this number 62 percent of the time. Lay it.