No. 1 overall seed UConn cruises against No. 5 seed San Diego State, while No. 3 seed Illinois beats No. 2 seed Iowa State to set up an Elite Eight showdown. The Huskies are beating the Aztecs in 84% of simulations, while the Fighting Illini are beating the Cyclones 53% of the time. UConn is the defending national champion and coming off back-to-back blowout wins over No. 16 seed Stetson and No. 9 seed Northwestern.

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