Shanghai International Circuit will be the fifth stop on the 2024 Formula 1 schedule when it hosts the 2024 Chinese Grand Prix on Sunday. This will be the first GP in China since 2019 due to the effects of the pandemic, and Lewis Hamilton has won six of the last 12 Chinese Grands Prix. Max Verstappen has yet to win in China across five starts but he does enter the Chinese GP 2024 with three wins over four races this season.

Verstappen is the -450 favorite (bet $450 to win $100) in the 2024 Chinese Grand Prix odds, with Red Bull teammate Sergio Perez at +1100. Carlos Sainz, who is the only driver besides Verstappen to win this year, is at +1200, as is Charles Leclerc, while Hamilton is a +5000 lonshot. The green flag is scheduled to drop at 3 a.m. ET.

SportsLine's proven computer projection model simulated the Chinese GP 2024 10,000 times and come up with a surprising leaderboard.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary Formula 1 prediction model takes into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

The model has been scorching hot when it comes to picking Formula 1 race events dating back to 2021. It nailed both of Charles Leclerc's wins in 2022, and at the 2021 Mexican Grand Prix, the model was strongly backing Verstappen as its top pick. The result: Verstappen dominated the field and ran away with a surprising victory. 

It followed that up by calling Verstappen's win at the Rolex Emilia Romagna GP in April and nailed Verstappen to win in Belgium, the Netherlands, Japan, the United States, Mexico and Abu Dhabi. It also called all 19 of Verstappen's wins during the 2023 season and nailed each of his three wins in 2024! Anyone who followed the model's lead on those plays has seen HUGE returns!

The Shanghai International Circuit is celebrating its 20th anniversary this year after opening in June 2004. The 16-turn, 3.388-mile track held its first Chinese Grand Prix in September of that year and continued hosting the race through 2019. Hamilton was far and away the dominant presence as he's collected six wins over the last dozen races at the track, while Fernando Alonso (two) and Nico Rosberg (two) are the only other drivers with multiple wins over the last 20 years. The race went on hiatus from 2020-23 due to pandemic effects in China but F1 has extended its contract for the Chinese GP through the 2025 season.

Now, the model has dialed in on the 2024 Formula 1 Chinese Grand Prix and just released its coveted picks and leaderboard projections. 

We can tell you the model is fading Carlos Sainz, predicting he doesn't even make the podium even though he's one of the top favorites at +1200! Sainz has had a strong start to the year, winning in Australia and making the podium in three of four races. However, he's still searching for success in China, where he's had five previous starts. The Spaniard hasn't placed better than seventh in any of those races as his average finish across those starts is just 10.4. Those results don't inspire much confidence for the third favorite entering the week.

Instead, the model is also targeting two drivers going off longer than 60-1 to make serious charges up the leaderboard, including an epic triple-digit longshot! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who he is before locking in any Formula 1 Chinese GP picks of your own.

So who wins the 2024 Formula 1 Chinese Grand Prix? And which SERIOUS long shots could be in contention? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected Chinese GP leaderboard, all from the model that nailed all 19 of Verstappen's wins last season, and find out!