Josh Nagel

Staff Analyst

Josh Nagel is a Reno-based analyst and radio host who has worked in the Nevada sports handicapping industry for 17 years. He has covered the wagering industry on a variety of platforms, and has won numerous sports handicapping contests. For insightful analysis, Nagel is unmatched. He specializes in college sports and prides himself on consistency. Last year, he nailed 67 percent of his bowl picks. For Josh Nagel media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

29-23-1 LAST 53 CFB ATS PICKS | +369

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OVER 54.5OVER 54.5

California 14 @ Stanford 17
11/18
CAL 14 @ STNFRD 17
11/18
LOSS
Sat 11/18

I don't see California having the physicality to match Stanford in this rivalry game, but I still think the Over is a better position than laying this many points. Although the Cardinal can be inconsistent on offense, this is mostly a road ailment as they average nearly 43 points per game in Pac-12 home contests. Cal is averaging 36.5 points in splitting in last four games, so the Bears should do their share to send this Over the total.

29-23-1 in last 53 CFB ATS picks | +369

Tennessee +16TENN +16

LSU 30 @ Tennessee 10
11/18
LSU 30 @ TENN 10
11/18
LOSS
Sat 11/18

Tennessee has been one of the bigger disappointments in the country this season. The program finally started looking toward a rebuild when it dismissed volatile former coach Butch Jones following a blowout loss at Missouri last week. Look for the Volunteers to show some pride in what looms as a logical, short-term improvement in their performance following the switch. Interim coach Brady Hoke is a defensive mind who should have his team prepared to limit LSU's offense and keep this one respectable.

29-23-1 in last 53 CFB ATS picks | +369

Oregon -3OREG -3

Arizona 28 @ Oregon 48
11/18
ARIZ 28 @ OREG 48
11/18
WIN
Sat 11/18

Oregon QB Justin Herbert is as valuable to his team as any major-conference player in the country. With him, the Ducks were 4-1, had a balanced offense and one of the top dual-threats in the nation. In his five-game injury absence, they won just one game and still need a win to become bowl-eligible. Look for the return of Herbert, Oregon's better defense and home-field advantage to carry this one against an Arizona team that has likely already surpassed its peak.

29-23-1 in last 53 CFB ATS picks | +369

San Diego St. -16.5SDGST -16.5

Nevada 23 @ San Diego St. 42
11/18
NEVADA 23 @ SDGST 42
11/18
WIN
Sat 11/18

This is a matchup of perhaps the Mountain West's most physical team and perhaps its most finesse club. San Diego State has the nation's No. 7-ranked defense, while Nevada sits at No. 122. The Aztecs have a top-15 rushing offense and should overpower an undermanned Nevada front. Moreover, the Wolf Pack are in a bad motivational spot, squeezed between a blowout win over San Jose State and their annual rivalry game with UNLV.

29-23-1 in last 53 CFB ATS picks | +369

Virginia +19UVA +19

Virginia 28 @ Miami (Fla.) 44
11/18
UVA 28 @ MIAMI 44
11/18
WIN
Thu 11/16

Miami proved its mettle on a national stage the past two weeks with dominating wins over Virginia Tech and Notre Dame to crack the top four in the playoff rankings. But this is a dangerous spot Saturday against a bowl-eligible Virginia team that already has caught a couple opponents off-guard. The Cavaliers have upsets as a double-digit underdogs against Georgia Tech and Boise State to their credit. With Miami already assured of a spot in the ACC title game, it's difficult to see the Hurricanes operating at maximum motivation in this game.

29-23-1 in last 53 CFB ATS picks | +369

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