Josh Nagel is a Reno-based analyst who has worked in the Nevada sports handicapping industry for more than 16 years. He has covered the wagering industry on a variety of platforms, and also has won numerous sports handicapping contests. He specializes in college sports and prides himself on consistency. Last year, he hit a documented 61 percent of his college football picks, 59 percent of NFL selections and 58 percent of college basketball selections for SportsLine. From 2010 to 2014, Nagel picked college football games for the Reno Gazette-Journal, also at a 61 percent accuracy rate. His work also has been featured in USA Today, on Covers.com and Poker News. He is the former managing editor of the Reno-based gaming and entertainment magazine Best Bets. For Josh Nagel media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
LAST 33 MLB PICKS
20-13 LAST 33 MLB PICKS | +821
Giants pitcher Jeff Samardzija has been one of the least effective starters in MLB this season, and he has been a disaster against the Cubs in his career. Samardzija is 0-2 with a 9.75 ERA in three starts against them, including a disastrous outing in the 2016 NLDS. Chicago?s current lineup is hitting a combined .310 against him. Chicago starter Eddie Butler, a recent call-up, is 3-0 with a 3.22 ERA in four career starts against the Giants. This is a light price for the value side.
20-13-0 in last 33 MLB picks | +821
Braves starter Julio Teheran has struggled at home, as the team is just 5-18 in his past 23 outings in Atlanta. They have lost four straight of his starts against NL Central opponents, and are 3-8 in his home starts against losing teams. Look for reeling Pittsburgh to take advantage Wednesday and take the third of this four-game series.
Dodgers starter Rich Hill looked decent in his return form the disabled list last week, earning a no-decision after allowing one run in five strong innings against the Giants. Even so, he is getting too much respect in this number Wednesday against the Cardinals and Mike Leake, who is 4-2 with a 2.03 ERA. He is coming off an outstanding start in which he received a no-decision against the Red Sox, allowing two runs in seven innings. This is too strong of an overlay to pass up.
Rays starter Alex Cobb has been solid all season, but has been particularly strong of late, allowing three or fewer earned runs in five straight starts. He and Angels starter Matt Shoemaker will both be looking for their third consecutive wins when they face off Tuesday. But Shoemaker gave up four runs in the first two innings of his last start, and the light-hitting Rays should be able to have some success off him.
The total between the Orioles and Blue Jays on Saturday appears a bit light, especially considering the recent struggles of both starting pitchers. Toronto?s Mike Bolsinger is 0-2 with a 6.10 ERA, and allowed six runs with eight hits in a loss Monday in Atlanta. Baltimore starter Kevin Gausman has allowed five earned runs in three of his past five starts, and failed to get out of the fourth inning in his last outing against the Royals. The Over should be in good shape Saturday.
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