

Larry Hartstein
The Maestro
A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Larry combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed working for Pro Football Focus. Larry tied for 52nd place (out of 1,598 entries) in the 2022 Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest, going 53-34-3 ATS (61 percent). He is coming off a 2025 NFL season in which he went 50-37 ATS (57.5 percent), putting him at 643-555 ATS alltime. For NFL Office Pool players, Larry picked every game straight-up the past two seasons and nailed nearly 70 percent of those picks. Larry also specializes in college basketball: Over the past seven seasons, he is 767-672-20 ATS (plus $2,297 for $100 players). In addition, Larry has posted two straight profitable NBA seasons, going 198-152 (plus $1,339 for $100 players). Larry appears regularly on CBS Sports HQ and CBS Sports Network and is a founding member of Early Edge. For Larry Hartstein media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
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Larry's Picks
5 Live PicksIt's unclear who will start at quarterback for Baltimore. ...
Tee Higgins is coming off two monster performances. …
The Giants come out of their bye with serious injury questions at running back. ...
The Falcons are coming off an embarrassing offensive performance. ...
The banged-up Saints come off their bye. ...
Both teams made high-profile trades this week in hopes of a Super Bowl run. I like the Seahawks at home, but would not lay more than a field goal. The Seahawks did not allow a 10-yard run or a 20-yard catch in last week's stomping of the Chiefs. With Nick Emmanwori back to full health, Seattle's defense looks as good as last year's unit. The Seahawks rank No. 2 in points per drive allowed (1.45) and explosive play percentage allowed (4.9). Sam Darnold got untracked last week, only committing one backbreaking turnover. Despite the loss of left tackle Charles Cross (ankle), Seattle should have enough offensive success to cover.
Seahawks safety Nick Emmanwori spends a lot of time near the line of scrimmage and defending the slot. When facing Chicago, that combo has proven to be a boon for tackles. We saw Patriots nickelback Marcus Jones post a season-high nine combined tackles vs. the Bears in Week 7. Emmanwori wasn't healthy to start the season; he was recovering from July arthroscopic ankle surgery and dealt with a minor hamstring issue in Week 3. Emmanwori didn't start playing 90 percent of the snaps until Week 5. Look for Emmanwori to be heavily involved on Monday Night Football.
This is a brutal scheduling spot for the Eagles, who are traveling on a short week to face a Commanders team off its bye. Philly gave up 204 rushing yards to Dallas in the 38-21 loss on Monday night, posting the worst defensive EPA per drive since Vic Fangio took over in 2024. Home teams with a rest advantage are 12-2-1 ATS this season. Look for Jayden Daniels to enjoy a comfortable pocket as Washington wins by a touchdown.
With the Commanders losing Terry McLaurin to a season-ending injury, tight end Chig Okonkwo has picked up the slack. He's caught 11 of 13 targets for 129 yards over the past two games. Okonkwo has great chemistry with Jayden Daniels and I expect to see more of it Sunday night.
New England comes off its bye to face a Dolphins team that just got its first win. While the spot seems to favor the Pats, Miami has been feisty in its only two home games. The Dolphins were in position to grab a second-half lead over the Chiefs until a controversial call went against them. Then they scored late to lose to Cincinnati by a touchdown. Malik Willis is coming off his best game of the season, accounting for three touchdowns and zero turnovers. Look for New England to fall to 1-6 ATS in its last seven games following the bye.
Derwin James is on injured reserve, so Chargers strong safety Tony Jefferson is playing in the box more. He's facing a Rams team that loves to run the ball and likely will be leading in the second half. Although Jefferson has cleared this prop total just once, I took a shot at plus money based on the matchup and the Chargers' injury situation.
Yes, DJ Moore is expected to return, but I still like Keon Coleman to clear this modest receiving total in a potential shootout. The Ravens have been getting gashed by outside receivers. Coleman has scored in three straight games, earning Josh Allen's trust. And he has cleared this number in four of six games.
Bengals wideout Ja'Marr Chase has scored in four of the past five games, including a two-TD performance at Houston. This is a great matchup for him against a terrible Titans' secondary. The price looks cheap on Chase, who got overshadowed last week by Tee Higgins.
Initially I was leaning toward Dallas, but at a full touchdown I ended up taking a shot on the dog. Arizona has been horrible at home but solid on the road, beating the Rams and Chargers, covering against the 49ers and coming a few yards short of beating the Giants. Dallas gave up 21 points, 23 first downs and 321 yards to a moribund Eagles' offense on Monday, so the Cardinals' offense has a chance to keep pace.
Brian Branch's return was monumental for the Lions last week, as Detroit held Green Bay to 5.0 yards per play. The hard-hitting safety had four tackles, a pass deflection and an interception, and he energized the entire defense. The Vikings' already shaky offense suffered a blow when running back Aaron Jones aggravated a left knee injury Sunday and was sent for an MRI. It won't be easy against Brian Flores' scary defense. But the last time Jared Goff played at home vs. the Vikings, he went 25 of 37 for 284 yards and two touchdowns without an interception. Back the Lions to hand Minnesota its first loss and cover.





