This line has hit a key number, and I'll take the points with a Memphis team that's played a tougher schedule. Plus, the Hilltoppers, as explosive as they are, are dealing with a coaching change. Grab the points.

Western Kentucky is seventh in the nation with 517 ypg and they're currently on a seven-game win streak with everything clicking. However, they've been playing much weaker competition -- bad defenses and offenses not nearly as good as theirs. Memphis is going to give the Hilltoppers a run in what should be extremely high-scoring game. I'm looking for scores similar to what WKU and Louisiana Tech did twice this season, which was scoring over a combined 100 points.Over is the top play.

On the surface, this looks like a shootout. But where they differ is along the lines of scrimmage. Memphis has had issues all season long versus teams with the ability to dominate up front. That’s what Western Kentucky brings to the table. So even if the Hilltoppers' passing game is having an off day, their running game won’t.