A chance to upset their fierce rival didn’t happen for the Miami Hurricanes in a disappointing one-point loss to Florida State last Saturday. Still, sometimes a letdown creates line value the next week. With a win against Florida State, the Hurricanes likely would have been 10-point favorites here. Furthermore, last-second wins against Pittsburgh and Florida State have raised the value on the Tar Heels higher than it should be. Grab the Hurricanes and lay the points.

The home team has covered four straight years, and you know the Hurricanes want revenge after the 59-21 beatdown the Heels put on them last year. This spread is a few points too high and more indicative of what happened last week at Chapel Hill when Virginia Tech won 34-3. Before we do any downgrading of UNC, that score was all about playing under the wrath of Hurricane Matthew. UNC QB Mitch Tribusky had led the team to four straight wins before that and threw for over 400 yards in the last three, including the upset win at FSU. The real Carolina comes out Saturday.