The Marlins are 10 and 29 and have only one five of 20 games at home. They are minus -1887 in profit margin. Ranger Suarez has been in seven starts and he has seven wins no losses. He hasn't allowed more than three runs in any of his starts and two runs or less in five of his starts. He only allows four hits a game. His wins are by 3 runs or more. The Marlins have enough trouble just winning a game let alone hitting someone like Suarez and now they have Trevor Rogers pitching who allowed eight runs in his last start. Phillies to win.

The Phillies rotation has been beyond elite and no one has got to Suarez yet. Meanwhile, Rodgers has been struggling mightily and gave up 8 ER in less than 3 innings last time out. Marlins have lost on the run line in every one of Rodgers's 7 starts. Phillies have covered on the run line in 6 straight starts by Suarez and won the other one by 1 run. I'm in.

At nearly +140 here, this is well worth a half unit at least, even if we're on the other side of the 6th inning. Ranger Suarez has been one of the best pitchers in baseball so far this year, and yet he isn't even the best pitcher on his own team. He had a three start run of pitching into the 7th inning before ending after six his last time out, but against Miami here, this is a lineup he can work efficiently against and get deep into the game. The Marlins haven't produced much vs lefties and they don't walk often either; both should help Ranger here. Also played Suarez to Record the Win (+105 DK).

Trevor Rogers has struggled this season and the lefty owns an ERA of over 6.00. Rogers has the unenviable task of facing arguably the hottest lineup in the MLB in the Phillies. Philadelphia does possess a high K rate versus southpaws, however they have faced Rogers quite a few times, in addition to Rogers averaging a career worst SwStr%.