Lance Lynn has failed to eclipse this line in 3/4 starts recently but we also saw some good strikeout potential earlier in the year, so it's been a mixed bag for him. Of late, the Brewers have seen their strikeout rate increase vs right handed pitchers but adding Christian Yelich back in to the lineup should certainly help to cut down on strikeouts a bit. Regardless, I think this should be priced closer to -160 or at 5.5 for plus odds to the over.

At nearly +140 here, this is well worth a half unit at least, even if we're on the other side of the 6th inning. Ranger Suarez has been one of the best pitchers in baseball so far this year, and yet he isn't even the best pitcher on his own team. He had a three start run of pitching into the 7th inning before ending after six his last time out, but against Miami here, this is a lineup he can work efficiently against and get deep into the game. The Marlins haven't produced much vs lefties and they don't walk often either; both should help Ranger here. Also played Suarez to Record the Win (+105 DK).

The Yankees can draw walks and make life miserable for opposing pitchers but they have also allowed 9/12 right handed starters to go over 4.5 Ks this year. Taj Bradley certainly had his own issues last year but he still had a solid swinging strike rate above 11% and he went for at least 4 strikeouts in 19/21 starts. He should be around this number with ease based on his track record, as long he's pitching well, plus he threw 92 pitches in his last start at AAA, so I don't anticipate many restrictions here. Across those two starts at AAA, Bradley racked up 15 strikeouts in 11 innings, and I really believe this number should be at 5.5 minimum.

Just played this at +115 on Draftkings. Keaton Winn was looking like a solid starter for the Giants before his last start in Philly, where he hit a major speed bump, going only 0.2 innings and allowing five earned runs. Winn was sick before that game though, with sinus headaches and body sweats/chills, yet he still tried to power through for his team, but to no avail. The weakness Winn felt made it tough to grip his pitches and the rain delay then pitching in cold/wet weather certainly didn't help. I'll draw a line through that last start and bet on him in a plus matchup against Colorado to bounce back, with both an over on his outs and strikeouts, at some good prices.

After the Giants had to use five relievers behind Jordan Hicks' five inning performance last night, I'm going to bet on Keaton Winn to have a bounce back here. He only lasted 0.2 innings in his last start but he's said to be back to full health now and this matchup against the Rockies doesn't scare me much. At +125 on DK, I see value in playing the over on 15.5 outs here.

Some less than stellar strikeout performances of late have kept Jordan Hick's line really low here at only 3.5... He should easily be able to strike out four batters with his stuff and I'm not going to allow a letdown last time out stop me from playing the over against a Rockies lineup that's yielding the third most strikeouts vs righties this season and has kept it up of late. Played at -125 on DK. Lookout for my article on SL later today with more on this, as I also played a ladder here; 5 Ks (+140 Caesars), 6 Ks (+270), 7 Ks (+575).

This Baltimore lineup has been crushing opposing left handed pitchers and as I mentioned this morning on Early Edge, I like the Orioles right handed hitters to get to Andrew Abbott here. He's struggled with home runs to righties, with five given up in 25 innings, and the band box that is Great American Ballpark is not likely to help his cause. Abbott has allowed 30 baserunners in those 25 innings vs righties and should see at least seven of them today. With rain in the forecast, a delay would likely help us out by cutting the starting pitchers' days short, but if not, I still think fading Abbott and his 7% swinging strike rate is the move here.

I've been impressed with the consistency of Tanner Houck, who is just one out shy of going at least six innings in each of his starts this year. Moreover, I'm impressed when I look back at his year over year stats and see how he's kept nearly a 13% swinging strike rate in four straight seasons now. This year, he's looked the best I've seen him, and Minnesota was one of the worst teams for strikeouts in the early going but since April 22nd they've played only the White Sox and Angels, leading to much more offensive output and a decrease in strikeouts. I think this is a spot where they regress back and I'm happy get the 5.5 line again on Houck!

Hopping on this one again, as I mentioned last time on the Early Edge, I think Jordan Hicks is a really solid pitcher, has some good strikeout stuff and should be able to strike out five batters in any lineup. Last time out against the Pirates, I really liked the spot for not only a bounce back performance but a big one, and Hicks delivered with nine strikeouts. I'm not in love with this matchup but I do believe the line should be at least 5.5 on him so I'll play the over. -115 on Draftkings!

Yoshinobu Yamamoto's xERA is in line with his 3.54 ERA, and he possesses the best Called/Swinging Strike% on the board today, at better than 34%!! He's generated whiffs at a solid rate to both sides of the plate and struck out 37 batters in 28 innings. Yamamoto has exceeded this line in four straight starts as he's begun to settle in, and even in the one "full start" where he missed the over on this line, he had five Ks in five innings (68 pitches) against the Cardinals. On paper, Arizona isn't a great matchup for strikeouts but the Nationals and Padres were also tougher matchups and he went over this line in those outings. At +115 on DK, I'll happily take a shot!

The Guardians are once again a tough strikeout matchup for opposing pitchers as they rank in the bottom five against right handed pitchers. They usually employ a heavy amount of lefties, which has been the tougher side for Verlander in terms of whiff rate and CSW%. While we saw Hunter Brown strike out seven on Tuesday night, he also got a bit lucky, punching out the final four batters he faced, as he only had three strikeouts through the first four innings. Verlander hasn't looked bad since his return but asking for six strikeouts vs the Guardians is not a small task.

In my opinion this should be at 16.5 outs for the current odds, instead of 17.5 (or at least -160 for this line). Sandoval hasn't gone six innings yet in 6 tries and he was under this line in 19/28 starts last year. It will be interesting to see what lineup the Phillies put out, with a day game following a night game. JT Realmuto caught all 9 innings on Tuesday so normally I'd say he sits here but he's caught every Zack Wheeler start so far, and he had the day off Monday so I think he plays. Also playing Sandoval over 1.5 walks at -163 on Caesars.

Philly scored 3 runs in the 9th last night to steal a game the Angels surely thought they had won, and I think that momentum carries into today's game. Zack Wheeler has been a stud and his xERA of 2.37 is only slightly higher than his 1.93 ERA, pointing to his results being very real. Wheeler has allowed just 2 hits in his last 13.1 innings while striking out 16 and allowing 0 earned runs in that time. He did walk 6 batters over those two starts but conveniently, the Angels feature one of the lowest walk rates vs right handed pitching. I think Philly does enough offensively vs Sandoval & Co to win by two. Shoutout to Sia who is on this from EE!

14 innings, five hits and 17 strikeouts. That's the combined performance of the past two starting pitchers for the Seattle Mariners; rock solid stuff against one of the best teams in baseball. This Braves lineup now looks to feast on a much worse starting pitcher in Emerson Hancock, after being held to three runs in the first two games of this series. Hancock has been hit hard nearly half the time (almost 60% to righties) even when isolating just his recent "great" starts, and his 5.36 expected ERA points to him not being a great pitcher, despite recent success. Hancock has also failed to throw more than 88 pitches in any start, so I'm backing the Braves to send him packing before 5.2 innings pitched.

I agree with Propstarz on fading Tyler Anderson to finish six innings against Philly. Played at +135 on Draftkings. In my opinion this should be closer to -120 for the under or at least at 16.5 for these juiced odds. Last start Anderson needed 105 pitches to finish five innings against the Orioles, and his starts of 6+ innings have come against the Marlins, Rays and Reds. Also played over 1.5 walks on Draftkings (-165). Anderson walked 2+ in 4/5 starts and I believe the Phillies lefties pose trouble for his walk total. The only caveat is Doug Eddings behind home plate; one of the most pitcher leaning umpires in MLB. But, I still think this line should be at 2.5 so I'm playing it.