The No. 3 seed Minnesota Timberwolves open their Western Conference semifinal series on the road against the No. 2 seed Denver Nuggets on Saturday at 7 p.m. ET at Ball Arena in Denver. SportsLine consensus lists Denver as the 4.5-point favorite, while the over/under is 209.5 points (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). Jamal Murray (calf) is listed as questionable for Denver. 

Before you make any Timberwolves vs. Nuggets picks, you NEED to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters the third week of the 2024 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 92-61 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,600. Anyone following has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows Denver center Nikola Jokic is coming off a 25-point, 20-rebound and nine-assist effort in 41 minutes in the first-round Game 5 win over the Los Angeles Lakers on Monday. Jokic has 2,010 career playoff points, and is the first player in franchise history to eclipse 2,000 or more points in the postseason. In the series, he registered three double-doubles and two triple doubles. In four regular-season meetings against Minnesota, Jokic averaged 33.3 points, 11.8 rebounds, 4.3 assists and 1.3 steals in 35.8 minutes of action.

The model also knows Minnesota shooting guard Anthony Edwards has been lights out this postseason. In four games, he is averaging 31 points, eight rebounds, 6.3 assists and two steals in 39.5 minutes. He is connecting on 51.2% of his field goals, including a blistering 43.8% from 3-point range, and 83.9% of his free throws. In Game 4 to close out the Suns, he poured in 40 points, while adding nine rebounds, six assists and two blocks.

The model has simulated Timberwolves vs. Nuggets 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations!

Who wins Timberwolves vs. Nuggets, and which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? ... Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 92-61 roll on top-rated NBA picks!