Bruce's Picks (4 Live)
Bruce's Past Picks
Considering that the Phils have won 18 of 21, and romped in the opener of this series last night when chasing Blue Jays ace Jose Berrios, the RL price temps again this afternoon at Citizens Bank Park. Especially as the Phillies have won in the last six starts made by Aaron Nola, who compiled a 2.06 ERA in April after a rough outing to start the season in late March vs. the Braves. The Blue Jays have also lost the last three games started by Chris Bassitt, who has not impressed greatly this season (5.45 ERA). Play Phillies on Run Line
We don't expect this series to pace like the Stars' opening-round grinder against VGK, which featured only five goals across the last two games combined and a succession of low-scoring battles. We're not sure Godzilla and King Kong combined could slow down the Avs, who scored at least five goals in each of their games in the first-round romp past Winnipeg, when Jared Bednar saw 12 of his players score goals. All of those games vs. the Jets went "over" and did each of the regular-season meetings vs. the Stars, so hang onto your hats in Big D tonight! Play Avs-Stars "Over"
While we didn't necessarily see offensive explosions from either of these teams in the first round, that wasn't the case in their regular-season meetings that all landed 221 or higher...much higher, in fact (the other three clashes all landed 245 or higher). Included were a couple of real lambastings each way with scorelines like 146-111 (Dallas) and 135-86 (OKC) as defense was never really featured in any of the four regular-season meetings. Matchups suggest we might see something similar, with Luka Doncic scoring 34 pg (his season avg.) vs. OKC this season, and the Thunder often hurt the Mavs despite SGA scoring only 22 pg across the four meetings. Play Mavs-Thunder "Over"
We'll assume there will be more scoring in this series than we saw in Cleveland's opening-round matchup vs. the pace-conscious Magic. Keep in mind that all of the regular-season meetings between the Cavs and Celtics landed above the 207.5 posted for tonight, and Cleveland will be less than whole defensively if rim protector Jarrett Allen continues to be sidelined. Boston's offense began to hum pretty good in the opening round vs. Miami, scoring at a 110 pg clip, and that included a subpar effort in Game 2 and calling off the dogs in Game 5, when Boston was already on 98 points and ahead by 32 into the 4th Q (the game ended 118-84). Play Cavs-Celtics "Over"
The Rangers are moving into Rodney Dangerfield territory here, winning every time thus far in the postseason but still looking for a bit more respect from the oddsmakers and wagering public that have made them a slight underdog for tonight's Game 2. The NHL version of the "Playoffs Zig-Zag" is not always as pronounced as it has been in the NBA, and the Canes might want to begin worrying a bit about GK Frederik Andersen, who has not looked as sharp in recent outings (stopping only 72 of 82 shots the past three games) as he did after being reactivated in early March into April. Note ten different Rangers have scored for Peter Laviolette in the playoffs. Play Rangers on Money Line
We saw a few signs of life over the weekend for the Chisox when they won a series on the road for the first time this season (at St Louis), but the Pale Hose were back to their losing ways last night at the Trop and are now 3-15 on the road. Help from Tuesday starter Michael Soroka (6.48 ERA) shouldn't be expected, and this looks no time to run into the Rays, who've flourished wearing their funky City Connect ensemble and climbed back to .500 with four straight wins on this homestand. That includes last night's 8-2 win over the Sox featuring four more RBIs from CF Jonny DeLuca, now with 10 RBIs in his last four games. Play Rays on Run Line
A good rule of thumb at the moment seems to be going with the O's whenever the price is reasonable (say -135 or less), even if it means laying the extra run. Having won six of seven and allowed all of eight runs across that span, the Birds are choking off opposition with their pitching, and worse for the Nats is that O's ace Corbin Burnes has pitched in bad luck his past two starts and is overdue to rejoin the win parade for this short drive down I-95. Washington has gotten good mileage from Trevor Williams (2.27 ERA), but he's rarely on the mound past the fifth inning, and hasn't faced the hot Birds as of yet, either. Play Orioles on Run Line
While very tempted to play the zig-zag and give the Nuggets a whirl tonight in Game Two, we see a bit more value at available options on the "over" side. There were some oddities associated with Saturday's Game One that don't figure to repeat tonight, including a very sluggish 2nd Q when only 36 points were scored, and some inefficient possessions in the final sequence that could have pushed that result "over" as well. Note that the last three meetings between these sides in the regular season all cleared this 208 for tonight in Denver. Play T-wolves-Nuggets "Over"
We just exited a first round where scorelines were dwindling to almost nothing and oddsmakers couldn't put the "totals" low enough. The Bruins were certainly involved in one of those wars of attrition vs. the Maple Leafs, when goals were being thrown around like manhole covers. Florida, however, didn't contribute to that trend in the opening round vs. Tampa Bay, scoring 20 goals across the five-game series win, with the last three games "over" as well. Rematch here from last spring, and revenge on the mind of Boston, but note that was a free-wheeling series with seven or more goals scored in five of the games. Play Bruins-Panthers "Over"
There might be some reason to wonder what the Bruins have left in their tanks after that 2-1 OT win over the Leafs in Saturday's Game Seven thriller. Mitigating, however, could be the revenge motive here for Boston, with a chance to make things right against Florida after coughing up that 3-1 edge in galling fashion last spring and getting ousted by the Panthers in a memorable first-round upset. Though surrendering the Atlantic Division to Florida on the last night of the regular season, the Bruins were more animated whenever facing the Panthers this campaign, winning all four meetings, three of those with Linus Ullmark in goal (Jim Montgomery can't go wrong with either Ullmark or first-round hero Jeremy Swayman). Play Bruins on Money Line
Have things really changed that much from the regular season for the Knicks and Pacers? After all, their three previous matchups this term all featured "totals" of 237.5 or higher...and tonight the oddsmakers have set that bar more than 20 points lower. Playoff hoops are different, we know, but the Pacers were the highest-scoring team in NBA annals at 123 pg this season, and hit for 120 or more in four of the games in the recently-completed 4-2 series win over the Bucks. Meanwhile, the Knicks start this series having gone 15-3 "over" their last eighteen games. Play Pacers-Knicks "Over"