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Thu, Mar 1311:00 pm UTCWells Fargo Center
Tampa Bay
Lightning
TB
Last 5 ML
W/L47-35
ATS43-39
O/U38-39-5
FINAL SCORE
3
-
4
Philadelphia
Flyers
PHI
Last 5 ML
W/L33-49
ATS41-41
O/U40-40-2
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
47-35
Win /Loss
33-49
43-39
Spread
41-41
38-39-5
Over / Under
40-40-2
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
TB @ PHI
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
TB @ PHI
Subscribers Only

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OVER / UNDER
TB @ PHI
Subscribers Only

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74%
PUBLIC
26%
MONEY
90%
PUBLIC
10%
MONEY
Over86%
PUBLIC
Under14%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

SpreadPhiladelphia +1.5 -182
WIN
Unit0.5
+3666
161-87-9 in Last 257 NHL Picks
+2975.5
82-34-9 in Last 125 NHL ATS Picks
+214.5
6-3-1 in Last 10 TB ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

It's backup Jonas Johansson (3.15 GAA) in net for Tampa Bay and superstar Nikita Kucherov is apparently out with an illness that per my local former Tampa Trib peeps is going around the locker room. The Bolts have gone cold in a two-game skid with just one goal scored. When scoring the first goal of a game, the Flyers are 18-9-8 this season and if they score first here, we are in good shape.

Pick Made: Mar 13, 10:32 pm UTC on BetMGM
SpreadTampa Bay -1.5 +165
LOSS
Unit1.0
+343
6-6 in Last 12 NHL ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Goals have suddenly dried up for the Lightning, blanked by Boston and losing 4-1 at Carolina on Tuesday. But Jon Cooper doesn't seem fazed and apparently has picked tonight to give Andrei Vasilevskiy a rest in goal, with Jonas Johansson slated to make a rare start in the nets. Perhaps it's because the Flyers have faded with losses in six straight amid their own goal-scoring woes, just five of those across the last four games. Emblematic of the downturn has been top scorer Travis Konecny going goal-less across the last ten games. Samuel Ersson is also having a tough go of it in goal for Philly, peppered for a 5.11 GAA and just .828 saves in three losing March starts. Play Lightning on Puck Line.

Pick Made: Mar 13, 3:40 pm UTC on BetMGM

Team Injuries

Tampa Bay Lightning
Friday, Feb 06, 2026
Avatar
C
Nick Paul
UndisclosedQuestionable
Avatar
C
Anthony Cirelli
UndisclosedQuestionable
Philadelphia Flyers
Friday, Feb 06, 2026
Avatar
G
Samuel Ersson
Lower BodyQuestionable
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