Lightning have won 8 of their last 10 games and they are 15-4-3 at home this season while the Knights have won just 3 of their last 10 games. Both teams are relatively healthy, but Nikita Kucherov is out for the Lightning. I think that’s why this price is slightly cheaper, but the Lightning did just fine without him for the season last year, so there’s no reason not to take the Lightning this cheap at home.