Toronto 2 @ Ottawa 3 | 10/14 | 11:00 PM UTC
ANALYSIS: I totally understand why John Bollman is taking the Senators as moneyline underdogs and they may well win against a Leafs team playing the second of a back-to-back. I'm going to lean Under 6.5 goals, though, because each club is without its best offensive player: Auston Matthews for Toronto and Brady Tkachuk for Ottawa. Tkachuk had been holding out for a new contract and actually got it this morning but will not play yet. It's the Leafs debut in net of Petr Mrazek, who was excellent last year with Carolina. The Under is 11-3-1 in the Senators' last 15 home games. I'm only taking this because it's at 6.5. At 6, I wouldn't have.