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Thu 10/14 | 11:00 PM UTC | Kanata
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Toronto Maple Leafs 1-0, +57 ML
TOR -1.5
TOR -175
Over 6.5
Ottawa Senators --, -- ML
OTT +1.5
OTT +150
Under 6.5

Expert Picks

Toronto 2 @ Ottawa 3 | 10/14 | 11:00 PM UTC

UNDER 6.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: I totally understand why John Bollman is taking the Senators as moneyline underdogs and they may well win against a Leafs team playing the second of a back-to-back. I'm going to lean Under 6.5 goals, though, because each club is without its best offensive player: Auston Matthews for Toronto and Brady Tkachuk for Ottawa. Tkachuk had been holding out for a new contract and actually got it this morning but will not play yet. It's the Leafs debut in net of Petr Mrazek, who was excellent last year with Carolina. The Under is 11-3-1 in the Senators' last 15 home games. I'm only taking this because it's at 6.5. At 6, I wouldn't have.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+190 6-3 IN LAST 9 NHL PICKS
+100 2-1 IN LAST 3 OTT O/U PICKS

Season Splits

1-0, +57 ML
--, -- ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
100%
1-0, +57
0-0, 0
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
0-0, 0
0-0, 0
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
100%
1-0, +57
0-0, 0
When Line was -190 to -160
MONEY LINE
When Line was +135 to +165
100%
1-0, +57
0-0, 0
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
0-0, 0
0-0, 0
vs Teams That Win <45% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
0-0, 0
0-0, 0
vs Teams Allowing >2.9 GPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <2.6 GPG
0-0, 0
0-0, 0
in 2nd Game of Back-to-Back
REST
After a Day Off
0-0, 0
0-0, 0
vs OTT
HEAD TO HEAD
vs TOR
0-0, 0
0-0, 0
when Petr Mrazek starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Anton Forsberg starts
0-0, 0
0-0, 0